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May 2025

Tariffs, Trust, and Tightening: The Invisible Forces Moving Markets
Why the Fed is stuck, what the job market’s whispering, and how your savings could quietly shrink.
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Alex Warfel, CFA
Google’s Moat Is Cracking
As AI reshapes the value chain, Alphabet is fighting to stay relevant at the interface layer.
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Alex Warfel, CFA
Tariffs, Time Horizons & Trust: A 2025 Field Guide for Investors
How a Fed stuck on pause, a split-personality stock market and eroding faith in institutions could hit your mortgage, portfolio and peace of mind, plus…
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Alex Warfel, CFA

April 2025

Mood vs. Money: What Surging Spending and Sinking Sentiment Tell Us About the Late-Cycle Economy
Tariff “buy-aheads,” tech’s $2.5 trillion slide, and an earnings beat built on cost-cuts are reshaping the investment landscape just as confidence…
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Alex Warfel, CFA
Navigating Tariffs, Superstitions, and the First-Ever Bond Default
Why this market downturn is historic, how mutual fund managers’ zodiac years influence their decisions, and lessons from ancient Athens on debt crises.
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Alex Warfel, CFA
Humans Need Not Apply?
AI becomes a hiring filter, markets struggle with volatility, and macro forces hint at a new economic order.
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Alex Warfel, CFA
What the Market Isn’t Telling You
Returns are average, white-collar hiring is stalling, and investors are misreading both risk and performance. Here’s what actually matters.
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Alex Warfel, CFA

March 2025

What If the AI Boom Really Is Different?
Why generative AI stocks are crushing the cloud—and what it tells us about bubbles, belief, and investor bias.
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Alex Warfel, CFA
Overconfidence, Market Realities, and the Risks We Ignore
From sports betting to stock investing, why we overestimate returns—and how to make smarter financial decisions.
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Alex Warfel, CFA
Egg Prices, Trade Wars, and the Wealth Divide: Understanding Inflation’s Hidden Drivers
From avian flu to tariffs and spending habits, this week’s deep dive explores the forces shaping the economy—and what they mean for your finances.
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Alex Warfel, CFA

February 2025

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